Morgan Stanley downgrades Dish TV on expensive valuations, Latest Stock Price & More Expert Comments
Morgan Stanley has downgraded its rating on Dish TV to "equal-weight" from "overweight," saying current valuations are too expensive and factor in good progress the DTH (direct-to-home) service provider is making on subscriber additions, cost reductions and ARPU (average revenue per user) growth.
"Dish TV has outperformed the sensex by 37% year-to-date...We see little scope for substantial positive surprise for the street. Nor do valuations suggest upside to us," analysts Vipul Prasad and Ketaki Kulkarni said in a report.
Since start of April Dish TV shares have gone up 34.5% on NSE, while the broader Nifty index has fallen 3.5% over the same period.
However, the analysts didn’t go in for a sharper downgrade as they feel Dish TV will be among the bigger beneficiaries amidst the ongoing digitization in India.
"We expect 22% CAGR in average net subscriber base in fiscal 2011-13, implying about 25% gross incremental market share," Prasad and Kulkarni said.
Dish TV’s ARPU should grow at 10% CAGR over the same period, they said.
Dish TV currently has a market share of around 31%. While the total number of subscribers will grow, year-on-year growth is expected to fall this fiscal due to a high base of people who have already shifted to DTH, the two analysts said.
src-Moneycontrol & Rediff